RIVER FLOOD WARNING FOR GUADALUPE RIVER IN VICTORIA:

The Flood Warning continues for the Guadalupe River At Victoria will go into effect late tonight until further notice. At 3:15 AM CDT Wednesday, the stage was 10.7 feet. The flood stage is 21.0 feet.  For now, moderate flooding is forecast. The river will make a rapid rise today, going over the flood stage by early Thursday morning. The river will continue to rise to near 29.3 feet by Saturday evening. With the current forecast of rain chances upstream, additional rises are possible.

FORECASTED IMPACT:

Impact...At 29.5 feet, Major lowland flooding occurs. Riverside Park, much of the golf course, including the golf cart sheds, and the zoo flood. Water begins to flow over the riverbank in the Greens Addition Subdivision at the end of Gunther Street and begins to encroach into the roadway ditches. The homes in the Greens Addition Subdivision may be impacted by shallow flooding.

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DOES THIS COMPARE TO THE CONDITIONS OF THE FLOOD OF 98'

Back in October 1998, 30-plus inches of rain fell upriver in San Marcos and New Braunfels, which caused the Guadalupe River to crest at historic highs.  The Guadalupe crested in Victoria at 33.85 feet at 2 p.m. Tuesday afternoon, October 20, 1998.  The flood stage was 21 feet.  Here is the reason why this will probably not happen this time. Rainfall in New Braunfels is only at 1.53 and San Marcos is at 1.70 over the last 24 hours.  However, there has been 3.37 inches of rain upstream in the Gonzales in those same 24-hours, which might tip the Guadalupe River over the 29.5-foot major flooding mark in Victoria.  Keep an eye on the rain chances upstream, the forecast could change at a moment's notice. This is Texas weather we are talking about.

Stay safe! Turn around don't drown!

PHOTOS: THE FLOOD OF 1998